oddswatch 2016

Odds Watch 2016 Edition

We have our 26 candidates and the final is almost upon us so it’s time to work out who has impressed or disappointed so far and who you should be putting your money on! Of course if you don’t think the bookies opinion is everything, you can use different criteria to pick your winner on our homepage.

The Favourites

Russia's gravity-defying and possibly show-winning performance in Semi 1. Credits: Andres Putting (EBU)
Russia’s gravity-defying and possibly show-winning performance in Semi 1. Credits: Andres Putting (EBU)

Russia have been a favourite since the betting opened and now (possibly thanks to some bots getting in the way) the odds are a worse-than-stake return of 4-6. Australia and Ukraine have both seen their odds go down since rehearsals started and are now at 5-1 and 7-1 respectively. Hosts Sweden (15-1) have remained a Top 5 betting option since the start and France have moved out of second place and back to their starting price of (a still favourable) 10-1.

The Dark Horses

Will Malta climb their way back into the Top list? Credits: Andres Putting (EBU)
Will Malta climb their way back into the Top list? Credits: Andres Putting (EBU)

Obviously as the field narrows, so do the criteria of making the Favourites list, but having fallen from 16-1 a week ago to 33-1 now, Malta clearly didn’t impress people in the semis. Belgium meanwhile, have moved in the other direction starting at almost 150-1 last month they’re down to 50-1 today. Armenia (25-1), Italy (40-1) and the Netherlands (50-1) also feature in the likely Top 10 list while the UK entry, possibly buoyed by home backing since the rehearsals, now find themselves at a respectable 40-1.

The Middle-of-the-Roaders

Just Latvia Semi 2 Thomas Hanses (EBU)
Can Latvia’s Justs give it enough to finish in the Top 10? Credits: Thomas Hanses (EBU)

Interestingly, three of the acts in this group have seen odds of under 25-1 in recent weeks only to move much more mid-table in recent days; any of Latvia (60-1), Serbia (75-1) and Bulgaria (90-1) could be a valuable Top 5 bet should their fans pick up the phones in great enough numbers. Israel meanwhile shot to 40-1 from over 100-1 last week only to find themselves back in the middle at 66-1 today. Rounding off the group, Cyprus (100-1) continue to see their odds drift whilst Austria (66-1) have moved up the table since ZOË’s slightly unexpected qualification on Tuesday.

The Unlikely Ones

All action but no love. Donny Montell (Lithuania) has remained around 125-1. Credits: Andres Putting (EBU)
All action but no love. Donny Montell (Lithuania) has remained around 125-1. Credits: Andres Putting (EBU)

Again, possibly as a fault of more unlikely winners being eliminated in the semis, this group finds itself full of contenders who looked much more promising once-upon-a-time. Spain and Poland (both previously 33-1) had been considered Dark Horses, but now join Hungary, Lithuania and Azerbaijan as contenders for the second half of the table, with all five countries facing odds of around 125-1 to win.

The No-Hopers

Is Jamie-Lee going to be just a bit too different for the voters? Credits: Thomas Hanses (EBU)
Is Jamie-Lee going to be just a bit too different for the voters? Credits: Thomas Hanses (EBU)

Sometimes there is a country so likely to get nil points you want to bet on them for the fun of it. Whilst Georgia (200-1) seem the most likely candidate for bottom of the table this year, their unexpected qualification imply they might be more popular than Germany (175-1) who have tumbled since last week. Rounding out his group we find previous a Favourite in Croatia (now 150-1) as well as the Czech Republic, who have likely seen their odds move from 40-1 last week to 150-1 today as a result of being placed an unlucky 2nd in the running order for Saturday.

 

Not enough for you decide? Try our homepage and we’ll give you your perfect Top 10!

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